Texans @ Chiefs
Texans
ChiefsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Chiefs beat the Texans 23-14 at home. The market closed with Texans at +410 on the moneyline and the total at 41.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 2 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Texans betting trends · Chiefs betting trends · all NFL games
Texans vs Chiefs betting splits
Where was the money on Texans vs Chiefs?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texans | 46% | 44% | +9.5 (-110) |
| Chiefs | 54% | 56% | -9.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 76% | 73% | O 41.5 (-110) |
| Under | 24% | 27% | U 41.5 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | Texans | 11% | 9% | +410 |
| Chiefs | 89% | 91% | -550 |
54% of spread tickets and 56% of spread money were on the Chiefs, so the average Chiefs bet was larger than the average Texans bet.
76% of total tickets and 73% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
89% of moneyline tickets and 91% of moneyline money were on the Chiefs, so the average Chiefs bet was larger than the average Texans bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Texans vs Chiefs?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Chiefs) | -7.5 | -9.5 | -2 |
| Total | 43 | 41.5 | -1.5 |
The Chiefs opened -7.5 and closed -9.5, a 2-point move toward the Chiefs.
The total opened 43 and closed 41.5, a 1.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Texans vs Chiefs line move?
The spread moved 2 points toward the Chiefs (Chiefs -7.5 to Chiefs -9.5), the side holding 56% of the spread money and 54% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1.5 points toward the under (43 to 41.5) even though 73% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 27% of the money and 24% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.