Ravens @ Bills
Ravens
BillsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Bills beat the Ravens 27-25 at home. The market closed with Ravens at -122 on the moneyline and the total at 51.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 2 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Ravens betting trends · Bills betting trends · all NFL games
Ravens vs Bills betting splits
Where was the money on Ravens vs Bills?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Ravens | 44% | 57% | -1.5 (-110) |
| Bills | 56% | 43% | +1.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 58% | 58% | O 51.5 (-115) |
| Under | 42% | 42% | U 51.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Ravens | 49% | 60% | -122 |
| Bills | 51% | 40% | +102 |
The Bills held 56% of spread tickets but only 43% of the money; 57% of spread money was on the Ravens with 44% of tickets, so the average Ravens bet was larger.
58% of total tickets and 58% of total money were on the over, with money and tickets in step.
The Bills held 51% of moneyline tickets but only 40% of the money; 60% of moneyline money was on the Ravens with 49% of tickets, so the average Ravens bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Ravens vs Bills?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Bills) | -1.5 | +1.5 | +3 |
| Total | 52.5 | 51.5 | -1 |
The Bills opened -1.5 and closed +1.5, a 3-point move toward the Ravens.
The total opened 52.5 and closed 51.5, a 1-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Ravens vs Bills line move?
The spread moved 3 points toward the Ravens (Bills -1.5 to Bills +1.5), the side holding 57% of the spread money and 44% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1 point toward the under (52.5 to 51.5) even though 58% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 42% of the money and 42% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.