Vikings @ Steelers
Vikings
SteelersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Steelers beat the Vikings 24-21 at home. The market closed with Vikings at -146 on the moneyline and the total at 41. This was an NFL 2025 week 4 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Vikings betting trends · Steelers betting trends · all NFL games
Vikings vs Steelers betting splits
Where was the money on Vikings vs Steelers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Vikings | 25% | 37% | -2.5 (-115) |
| Steelers | 75% | 63% | +2.5 (-105) | |
| Total | Over | 41% | 45% | O 41 (-110) |
| Under | 59% | 55% | U 41 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Vikings | 63% | 56% | -146 |
| Steelers | 37% | 44% | +126 |
75% of spread tickets and 63% of spread money were on the Steelers, so the Steelers drew more tickets than money and the average Vikings bet was larger.
59% of total tickets and 55% of total money were on the under, so the under drew more tickets than money and the average over bet was larger.
63% of moneyline tickets and 56% of moneyline money were on the Vikings, so the Vikings drew more tickets than money and the average Steelers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Vikings vs Steelers?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Steelers) | +2.5 | +2.5 | 0 |
| Total | 41 | 41 | 0 |
The Vikings were -2.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -2.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 41 24 hours before kickoff and closed 41: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Vikings vs Steelers line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Steelers +2.5) even with 63% of the spread money on the Steelers. The total did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (41) even with 55% of the total money on the under. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.