Vikings @ Browns
Vikings
BrownsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Vikings beat the Browns 21-17 on the road. The market closed with Vikings at -188 on the moneyline and the total at 35.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 5 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Vikings betting trends · Browns betting trends · all NFL games
Vikings vs Browns betting splits
Where was the money on Vikings vs Browns?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Vikings | 54% | 62% | -3.5 (-104) |
| Browns | 46% | 38% | +3.5 (-118) | |
| Total | Over | 64% | 61% | O 35.5 (-110) |
| Under | 36% | 39% | U 35.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Vikings | 87% | 73% | -188 |
| Browns | 13% | 27% | +160 |
54% of spread tickets and 62% of spread money were on the Vikings, so the average Vikings bet was larger than the average Browns bet.
64% of total tickets and 61% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
87% of moneyline tickets and 73% of moneyline money were on the Vikings, so the Vikings drew more tickets than money and the average Browns bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Vikings vs Browns?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Browns) | +3.5 | +3.5 | 0 |
| Total | 36.5 | 35.5 | -1 |
The Vikings were -3.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -3.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 36.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 35.5, a 1-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Vikings vs Browns line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Browns +3.5) even with 62% of the spread money on the Vikings. The total moved 1 point toward the under (36.5 to 35.5) even though 61% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 39% of the money and 36% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.