Broncos @ Chiefs
Broncos
ChiefsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Broncos beat the Chiefs 20-13 on the road. The market closed with Broncos at -1100 on the moneyline and the total at 37.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 17 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Broncos betting trends · Chiefs betting trends · all NFL games
Broncos vs Chiefs betting splits
Where was the money on Broncos vs Chiefs?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Broncos | 70% | 69% | -13.5 (-110) |
| Chiefs | 30% | 31% | +13.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 56% | 63% | O 37.5 (-120) |
| Under | 44% | 37% | U 37.5 (-102) | |
| Moneyline | Broncos | 80% | 52% | -1100 |
| Chiefs | 20% | 48% | +700 |
70% of spread tickets and 69% of spread money were on the Broncos, so the Broncos drew more tickets than money and the average Chiefs bet was larger.
56% of total tickets and 63% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
80% of moneyline tickets and 52% of moneyline money were on the Broncos, so the Broncos drew more tickets than money and the average Chiefs bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Broncos vs Chiefs?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Chiefs) | -4.5 | +13.5 | +18 |
| Total | 44.5 | 37.5 | -7 |
The Chiefs opened -4.5 and closed +13.5, a 18-point move toward the Broncos.
The total opened 44.5 and closed 37.5, a 7-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Broncos vs Chiefs line move?
The spread moved 18 points toward the Broncos (Chiefs -4.5 to Chiefs +13.5), the side holding 69% of the spread money and 70% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 7 points toward the under (44.5 to 37.5) even though 63% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 37% of the money and 44% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.