Cardinals @ Saints
Cardinals
SaintsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Cardinals beat the Saints 20-13 on the road. The market closed with Cardinals at -260 on the moneyline and the total at 44.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 1 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Cardinals betting trends · Saints betting trends · all NFL games
Cardinals vs Saints betting splits
Where was the money on Cardinals vs Saints?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Cardinals | 37% | 29% | -5.5 (-108) |
| Saints | 63% | 71% | +5.5 (-111) | |
| Total | Over | 22% | 32% | O 44.5 (-105) |
| Under | 78% | 68% | U 44.5 (-115) | |
| Moneyline | Cardinals | 93% | 94% | -260 |
| Saints | 7% | 6% | +205 |
63% of spread tickets and 71% of spread money were on the Saints, so the average Saints bet was larger than the average Cardinals bet.
78% of total tickets and 68% of total money were on the under, so the under drew more tickets than money and the average over bet was larger.
93% of moneyline tickets and 94% of moneyline money were on the Cardinals, so the average Cardinals bet was larger than the average Saints bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Cardinals vs Saints?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Saints) | +6.5 | +5.5 | -1 |
| Total | 43.5 | 44.5 | +1 |
The Cardinals were -6.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -5.5, a 1-point move toward the Saints.
The total was 43.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 44.5, a 1-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Cardinals vs Saints line move?
The spread moved 1 point toward the Saints (Saints +6.5 to Saints +5.5), the side holding 71% of the spread money and 63% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1 point toward the over (43.5 to 44.5) even though 68% of the total money sits on the under; the over holds 32% of the money and 22% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.