Steelers @ Jets
Steelers
JetsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Steelers beat the Jets 34-32 on the road. The market closed with Steelers at -162 on the moneyline and the total at 38. This was an NFL 2025 week 1 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Steelers betting trends · Jets betting trends · all NFL games
Steelers vs Jets betting splits
Where was the money on Steelers vs Jets?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Steelers | 52% | 54% | -3 (-110) |
| Jets | 48% | 46% | +3 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 37% | 29% | O 38 (-110) |
| Under | 63% | 71% | U 38 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Steelers | 85% | 99% | -162 |
| Jets | 15% | 1% | +140 |
52% of spread tickets and 54% of spread money were on the Steelers, so the average Steelers bet was larger than the average Jets bet.
63% of total tickets and 71% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
85% of moneyline tickets and 99% of moneyline money were on the Steelers, so the average Steelers bet was larger than the average Jets bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Steelers vs Jets?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Jets) | +3 | +3 | 0 |
| Total | 37.5 | 38 | +0.5 |
The Steelers were -3 24 hours before kickoff and closed -3: the spread has not moved.
The total was 37.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 38, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Steelers vs Jets line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Jets +3) even with 54% of the spread money on the Steelers. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (37.5 to 38) even though 71% of the total money sits on the under; the over holds 29% of the money and 37% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.