Titans @ Broncos
Titans
BroncosArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Broncos beat the Titans 20-12 at home. The market closed with Titans at +370 on the moneyline and the total at 42.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 1 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Titans betting trends · Broncos betting trends · all NFL games
Titans vs Broncos betting splits
Where was the money on Titans vs Broncos?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Titans | 56% | 40% | +8.5 (-105) |
| Broncos | 44% | 60% | -8.5 (-115) | |
| Total | Over | 23% | 34% | O 42.5 (-110) |
| Under | 77% | 66% | U 42.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Titans | 4% | 6% | +370 |
| Broncos | 96% | 94% | -500 |
The Titans held 56% of spread tickets but only 40% of the money; 60% of spread money was on the Broncos with 44% of tickets, so the average Broncos bet was larger.
77% of total tickets and 66% of total money were on the under, so the under drew more tickets than money and the average over bet was larger.
96% of moneyline tickets and 94% of moneyline money were on the Broncos, so the Broncos drew more tickets than money and the average Titans bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Titans vs Broncos?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Broncos) | -8.5 | -8.5 | 0 |
| Total | 42.5 | 42.5 | 0 |
The Broncos were -8.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -8.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 42.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 42.5: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Titans vs Broncos line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Broncos -8.5) even with 60% of the spread money on the Broncos. The total did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (42.5) even with 66% of the total money on the under. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.