Texans @ Rams
Texans
RamsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Rams beat the Texans 14-9 at home. The market closed with Texans at +142 on the moneyline and the total at 43. This was an NFL 2025 week 1 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Texans betting trends · Rams betting trends · all NFL games
Texans vs Rams betting splits
Where was the money on Texans vs Rams?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texans | 72% | 70% | +3 (-105) |
| Rams | 28% | 30% | -3 (-115) | |
| Total | Over | 20% | 24% | O 43 (-110) |
| Under | 80% | 76% | U 43 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Texans | 17% | 23% | +142 |
| Rams | 83% | 77% | -168 |
72% of spread tickets and 70% of spread money were on the Texans, so the Texans drew more tickets than money and the average Rams bet was larger.
80% of total tickets and 76% of total money were on the under, so the under drew more tickets than money and the average over bet was larger.
83% of moneyline tickets and 77% of moneyline money were on the Rams, so the Rams drew more tickets than money and the average Texans bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Texans vs Rams?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Rams) | -3 | -3 | 0 |
| Total | 43.5 | 43 | -0.5 |
The Rams were -3 24 hours before kickoff and closed -3: the spread has not moved.
The total was 43.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 43, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Texans vs Rams line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Rams -3) even with 70% of the spread money on the Texans. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (43.5 to 43), the side holding 76% of the total money and 80% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.