Vikings @ Bears
Vikings
BearsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Vikings beat the Bears 27-24 on the road. The market closed with Vikings at -105 on the moneyline and the total at 43.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 1 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Vikings betting trends · Bears betting trends · all NFL games
Vikings vs Bears betting splits
Where was the money on Vikings vs Bears?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Vikings | 54% | 19% | +1 (-115) |
| Bears | 46% | 81% | -1 (-105) | |
| Total | Over | 6% | 17% | O 43.5 (-108) |
| Under | 94% | 83% | U 43.5 (-112) | |
| Moneyline | Vikings | 68% | 50% | -105 |
| Bears | 32% | 50% | -115 |
The Vikings held 54% of spread tickets but only 19% of the money; 81% of spread money was on the Bears with 46% of tickets, so the average Bears bet was larger.
94% of total tickets and 83% of total money were on the under, so the under drew more tickets than money and the average over bet was larger.
Moneyline money was split evenly at 50% a side (tickets 68% Vikings, 32% Bears).
Line movement
What was the closing line for Vikings vs Bears?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Bears) | +1.5 | -1 | -2.5 |
| Total | 43.5 | 43.5 | 0 |
The Vikings were -1.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed +1, a 2.5-point move toward the Bears.
The total was 43.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 43.5: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Vikings vs Bears line move?
The spread moved 2.5 points toward the Bears (Bears +1.5 to Bears -1), the side holding 81% of the spread money and 46% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (43.5) even with 83% of the total money on the under. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.