Jaguars @ Bengals
Jaguars
BengalsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Bengals beat the Jaguars 31-27 at home. The market closed with Jaguars at +155 on the moneyline and the total at 49.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 2 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Jaguars betting trends · Bengals betting trends · all NFL games
Jaguars vs Bengals betting splits
Where was the money on Jaguars vs Bengals?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Jaguars | 48% | 61% | +3.5 (-113) |
| Bengals | 52% | 39% | -3.5 (-106) | |
| Total | Over | 10% | 12% | O 49.5 (-105) |
| Under | 90% | 88% | U 49.5 (-115) | |
| Moneyline | Jaguars | 8% | 11% | +155 |
| Bengals | 92% | 89% | -185 |
The Bengals held 52% of spread tickets but only 39% of the money; 61% of spread money was on the Jaguars with 48% of tickets, so the average Jaguars bet was larger.
90% of total tickets and 88% of total money were on the under, so the under drew more tickets than money and the average over bet was larger.
92% of moneyline tickets and 89% of moneyline money were on the Bengals, so the Bengals drew more tickets than money and the average Jaguars bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Jaguars vs Bengals?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Bengals) | -3.5 | -3.5 | 0 |
| Total | 49.5 | 49.5 | 0 |
The Bengals were -3.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -3.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 49.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 49.5: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Jaguars vs Bengals line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Bengals -3.5) even with 61% of the spread money on the Jaguars. The total did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (49.5) even with 88% of the total money on the under. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.