49ers @ Saints
49ers
SaintsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: 49ers beat the Saints 26-21 on the road. The market closed with 49ers at -160 on the moneyline and the total at 40.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 2 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: 49ers betting trends · Saints betting trends · all NFL games
49ers vs Saints betting splits
Where was the money on 49ers vs Saints?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | 49ers | 33% | 51% | -3 (-110) |
| Saints | 67% | 49% | +3 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 6% | 4% | O 40.5 (-110) |
| Under | 94% | 96% | U 40.5 (-114) | |
| Moneyline | 49ers | 91% | 86% | -160 |
| Saints | 9% | 14% | +130 |
The Saints held 67% of spread tickets but only 49% of the money; 51% of spread money was on the 49ers with 33% of tickets, so the average 49ers bet was larger.
94% of total tickets and 96% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
91% of moneyline tickets and 86% of moneyline money were on the 49ers, so the 49ers drew more tickets than money and the average Saints bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for 49ers vs Saints?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Saints) | +3 | +3 | 0 |
| Total | 40.5 | 40.5 | 0 |
The 49ers were -3 24 hours before kickoff and closed -3: the spread has not moved.
The total was 40.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 40.5: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the 49ers vs Saints line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Saints +3) even with 51% of the spread money on the 49ers. The total did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (40.5) even with 96% of the total money on the under. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.