Bills @ Jets
Bills
JetsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Bills beat the Jets 30-10 on the road. The market closed with Bills at -290 on the moneyline and the total at 47.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 2 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Bills betting trends · Jets betting trends · all NFL games
Bills vs Jets betting splits
Where was the money on Bills vs Jets?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bills | 53% | 33% | -6 (-111) |
| Jets | 47% | 67% | +6 (-109) | |
| Total | Over | 14% | 29% | O 47.5 (-102) |
| Under | 86% | 71% | U 47.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Bills | 97% | 99% | -290 |
| Jets | 3% | 1% | +225 |
The Bills held 53% of spread tickets but only 33% of the money; 67% of spread money was on the Jets with 47% of tickets, so the average Jets bet was larger.
86% of total tickets and 71% of total money were on the under, so the under drew more tickets than money and the average over bet was larger.
97% of moneyline tickets and 99% of moneyline money were on the Bills, so the average Bills bet was larger than the average Jets bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Bills vs Jets?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Jets) | +6.5 | +6 | -0.5 |
| Total | 47.5 | 47.5 | 0 |
The Bills were -6.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -6, a 0.5-point move toward the Jets.
The total was 47.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 47.5: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Bills vs Jets line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Jets (Jets +6.5 to Jets +6), the side holding 67% of the spread money and 47% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (47.5) even with 71% of the total money on the under. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.