Broncos @ Colts
Broncos
ColtsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Colts beat the Broncos 29-28 at home. The market closed with Broncos at -125 on the moneyline and the total at 43.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 2 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Broncos betting trends · Colts betting trends · all NFL games
Broncos vs Colts betting splits
Where was the money on Broncos vs Colts?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Broncos | 51% | 45% | -1.5 (-115) |
| Colts | 49% | 55% | +1.5 (-105) | |
| Total | Over | 10% | 8% | O 43.5 (-108) |
| Under | 90% | 92% | U 43.5 (-112) | |
| Moneyline | Broncos | 75% | 69% | -125 |
| Colts | 25% | 31% | +105 |
The Broncos held 51% of spread tickets but only 45% of the money; 55% of spread money was on the Colts with 49% of tickets, so the average Colts bet was larger.
90% of total tickets and 92% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
75% of moneyline tickets and 69% of moneyline money were on the Broncos, so the Broncos drew more tickets than money and the average Colts bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Broncos vs Colts?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Colts) | +2.5 | +1.5 | -1 |
| Total | 43.5 | 43.5 | 0 |
The Broncos were -2.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -1.5, a 1-point move toward the Colts.
The total was 43.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 43.5: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Broncos vs Colts line move?
The spread moved 1 point toward the Colts (Colts +2.5 to Colts +1.5), the side holding 55% of the spread money and 49% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (43.5) even with 92% of the total money on the under. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.