Falcons @ Vikings
Falcons
VikingsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Falcons beat the Vikings 22-6 on the road. The market closed with Falcons at +145 on the moneyline and the total at 44.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 2 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Falcons betting trends · Vikings betting trends · all NFL games
Falcons vs Vikings betting splits
Where was the money on Falcons vs Vikings?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Falcons | 29% | 78% | +3.5 (-118) |
| Vikings | 71% | 22% | -3.5 (+104) | |
| Total | Over | 7% | 9% | O 44.5 (-110) |
| Under | 93% | 91% | U 44.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Falcons | 14% | 48% | +145 |
| Vikings | 86% | 52% | -170 |
The Vikings held 71% of spread tickets but only 22% of the money; 78% of spread money was on the Falcons with 29% of tickets, so the average Falcons bet was larger.
93% of total tickets and 91% of total money were on the under, so the under drew more tickets than money and the average over bet was larger.
86% of moneyline tickets and 52% of moneyline money were on the Vikings, so the Vikings drew more tickets than money and the average Falcons bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Falcons vs Vikings?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Vikings) | -3.5 | -3.5 | 0 |
| Total | 44.5 | 44.5 | 0 |
The Vikings were -3.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -3.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 44.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 44.5: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Falcons vs Vikings line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Vikings -3.5) even with 78% of the spread money on the Falcons. The total did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (44.5) even with 91% of the total money on the under. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.