Buccaneers @ Texans
Buccaneers
TexansArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Buccaneers beat the Texans 20-19 on the road. The market closed with Buccaneers at +130 on the moneyline and the total at 42.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 2 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Buccaneers betting trends · Texans betting trends · all NFL games
Buccaneers vs Texans betting splits
Where was the money on Buccaneers vs Texans?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Buccaneers | 55% | 54% | +2.5 (-102) |
| Texans | 45% | 46% | -2.5 (-120) | |
| Total | Over | 8% | 17% | O 42.5 (-115) |
| Under | 92% | 83% | U 42.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Buccaneers | 29% | 63% | +130 |
| Texans | 71% | 37% | -144 |
55% of spread tickets and 54% of spread money were on the Buccaneers, so the Buccaneers drew more tickets than money and the average Texans bet was larger.
92% of total tickets and 83% of total money were on the under, so the under drew more tickets than money and the average over bet was larger.
The Texans held 71% of moneyline tickets but only 37% of the money; 63% of moneyline money was on the Buccaneers with 29% of tickets, so the average Buccaneers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Buccaneers vs Texans?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Texans) | -2.5 | -2.5 | 0 |
| Total | 42.5 | 42.5 | 0 |
The Texans were -2.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -2.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 42.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 42.5: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Buccaneers vs Texans line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Texans -2.5) even with 54% of the spread money on the Buccaneers. The total did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (42.5) even with 83% of the total money on the under. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.