Steelers @ Patriots
Steelers
PatriotsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Steelers beat the Patriots 21-14 on the road. The market closed with Steelers at -112 on the moneyline and the total at 44.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 3 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Steelers betting trends · Patriots betting trends · all NFL games
Steelers vs Patriots betting splits
Where was the money on Steelers vs Patriots?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Steelers | 19% | 48% | -1.5 (-110) |
| Patriots | 81% | 52% | +1.5 (-114) | |
| Total | Over | 26% | 38% | O 44.5 (-106) |
| Under | 74% | 62% | U 44.5 (-114) | |
| Moneyline | Steelers | 68% | 65% | -112 |
| Patriots | 32% | 35% | -104 |
81% of spread tickets and 52% of spread money were on the Patriots, so the Patriots drew more tickets than money and the average Steelers bet was larger.
74% of total tickets and 62% of total money were on the under, so the under drew more tickets than money and the average over bet was larger.
68% of moneyline tickets and 65% of moneyline money were on the Steelers, so the Steelers drew more tickets than money and the average Patriots bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Steelers vs Patriots?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Patriots) | +1.5 | +1.5 | 0 |
| Total | 44.5 | 44.5 | 0 |
The Steelers were -1.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -1.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 44.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 44.5: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Steelers vs Patriots line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Patriots +1.5) even with 52% of the spread money on the Patriots. The total did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (44.5) even with 62% of the total money on the under. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.