49ers @ Rams
49ers
RamsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: 49ers beat the Rams 26-23 on the road. The market closed with 49ers at +340 on the moneyline and the total at 43.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 5 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: 49ers betting trends · Rams betting trends · all NFL games
49ers vs Rams betting splits
Where was the money on 49ers vs Rams?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | 49ers | 42% | 37% | +7.5 (-105) |
| Rams | 58% | 63% | -7.5 (-115) | |
| Total | Over | 42% | 33% | O 43.5 (-115) |
| Under | 58% | 67% | U 43.5 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | 49ers | 9% | 8% | +340 |
| Rams | 91% | 92% | -430 |
58% of spread tickets and 63% of spread money were on the Rams, so the average Rams bet was larger than the average 49ers bet.
58% of total tickets and 67% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
91% of moneyline tickets and 92% of moneyline money were on the Rams, so the average Rams bet was larger than the average 49ers bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for 49ers vs Rams?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Rams) | -7.5 | -7.5 | 0 |
| Total | 45.5 | 43.5 | -2 |
The Rams were -7.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -7.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 45.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 43.5, a 2-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the 49ers vs Rams line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Rams -7.5) even with 63% of the spread money on the Rams. The total moved 2 points toward the under (45.5 to 43.5), the side holding 67% of the total money and 58% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.