Dolphins @ Panthers
Dolphins
PanthersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Panthers beat the Dolphins 27-24 at home. The market closed with Dolphins at -118 on the moneyline and the total at 44.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 5 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Dolphins betting trends · Panthers betting trends · all NFL games
Dolphins vs Panthers betting splits
Where was the money on Dolphins vs Panthers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Dolphins | 43% | 29% | -1.5 (-105) |
| Panthers | 57% | 71% | +1.5 (-115) | |
| Total | Over | 51% | 48% | O 44.5 (-104) |
| Under | 49% | 52% | U 44.5 (-105) | |
| Moneyline | Dolphins | 59% | 85% | -118 |
| Panthers | 41% | 15% | -102 |
57% of spread tickets and 71% of spread money were on the Panthers, so the average Panthers bet was larger than the average Dolphins bet.
The over held 51% of total tickets but only 48% of the money; 52% of total money was on the under with 49% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
59% of moneyline tickets and 85% of moneyline money were on the Dolphins, so the average Dolphins bet was larger than the average Panthers bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Dolphins vs Panthers?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Panthers) | +1.5 | +1.5 | 0 |
| Total | 44.5 | 44.5 | 0 |
The Dolphins were -1.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -1.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 44.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 44.5: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Dolphins vs Panthers line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Panthers +1.5) even with 71% of the spread money on the Panthers. The total did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (44.5) even with 52% of the total money on the under. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.