Raiders @ Colts
Raiders
ColtsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Colts beat the Raiders 40-6 at home. The market closed with Raiders at +295 on the moneyline and the total at 46.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 5 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Raiders betting trends · Colts betting trends · all NFL games
Raiders vs Colts betting splits
Where was the money on Raiders vs Colts?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Raiders | 31% | 40% | +7.5 (-115) |
| Colts | 69% | 60% | -7.5 (-105) | |
| Total | Over | 46% | 44% | O 46.5 (-112) |
| Under | 54% | 56% | U 46.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Raiders | 5% | 5% | +295 |
| Colts | 95% | 95% | -370 |
69% of spread tickets and 60% of spread money were on the Colts, so the Colts drew more tickets than money and the average Raiders bet was larger.
54% of total tickets and 56% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
95% of moneyline tickets and 95% of moneyline money were on the Colts, with money and tickets in step.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Raiders vs Colts?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Colts) | -7 | -7.5 | -0.5 |
| Total | 47.5 | 46.5 | -1 |
The Colts were -7 24 hours before kickoff and closed -7.5, a 0.5-point move toward the Colts.
The total was 47.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 46.5, a 1-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Raiders vs Colts line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Colts (Colts -7 to Colts -7.5), the side holding 60% of the spread money and 69% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1 point toward the under (47.5 to 46.5), the side holding 56% of the total money and 54% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.