Texans @ Ravens
Texans
RavensArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Texans beat the Ravens 44-10 on the road. The market closed with Texans at -142 on the moneyline and the total at 41.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 5 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Texans betting trends · Ravens betting trends · all NFL games
Texans vs Ravens betting splits
Where was the money on Texans vs Ravens?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texans | 28% | 28% | -2.5 (-112) |
| Ravens | 72% | 72% | +2.5 (-108) | |
| Total | Over | 51% | 49% | O 41.5 (-110) |
| Under | 49% | 51% | U 41.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Texans | 39% | 41% | -142 |
| Ravens | 61% | 59% | +120 |
72% of spread tickets and 72% of spread money were on the Ravens, with money and tickets in step.
The over held 51% of total tickets but only 49% of the money; 51% of total money was on the under with 49% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
61% of moneyline tickets and 59% of moneyline money were on the Ravens, so the Ravens drew more tickets than money and the average Texans bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Texans vs Ravens?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Ravens) | +1.5 | +2.5 | +1 |
| Total | 40.5 | 41.5 | +1 |
The Texans were -1.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -2.5, a 1-point move toward the Texans.
The total was 40.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 41.5, a 1-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Texans vs Ravens line move?
The spread moved 1 point toward the Texans (Ravens +1.5 to Ravens +2.5) even though 72% of the spread money sits on the Ravens; the Texans hold 28% of the money and 28% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 1 point toward the over (40.5 to 41.5) even though 51% of the total money sits on the under; the over holds 49% of the money and 51% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.