Broncos @ Eagles
Broncos
EaglesArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Broncos beat the Eagles 21-17 on the road. The market closed with Broncos at +180 on the moneyline and the total at 44.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 5 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Broncos betting trends · Eagles betting trends · all NFL games
Broncos vs Eagles betting splits
Where was the money on Broncos vs Eagles?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Broncos | 40% | 62% | +4 (-110) |
| Eagles | 60% | 38% | -4 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 56% | 39% | O 44.5 (-105) |
| Under | 44% | 61% | U 44.5 (-115) | |
| Moneyline | Broncos | 6% | 5% | +180 |
| Eagles | 94% | 95% | -225 |
The Eagles held 60% of spread tickets but only 38% of the money; 62% of spread money was on the Broncos with 40% of tickets, so the average Broncos bet was larger.
The over held 56% of total tickets but only 39% of the money; 61% of total money was on the under with 44% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
94% of moneyline tickets and 95% of moneyline money were on the Eagles, so the average Eagles bet was larger than the average Broncos bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Broncos vs Eagles?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Eagles) | -4.5 | -4 | +0.5 |
| Total | 43.5 | 44.5 | +1 |
The Eagles were -4.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -4, a 0.5-point move toward the Broncos.
The total was 43.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 44.5, a 1-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Broncos vs Eagles line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Broncos (Eagles -4.5 to Eagles -4), the side holding 62% of the spread money and 40% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1 point toward the over (43.5 to 44.5) even though 61% of the total money sits on the under; the over holds 39% of the money and 56% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.