Buccaneers @ Seahawks
Buccaneers
SeahawksArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Buccaneers beat the Seahawks 38-35 on the road. The market closed with Buccaneers at +165 on the moneyline and the total at 44.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 5 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Buccaneers betting trends · Seahawks betting trends · all NFL games
Buccaneers vs Seahawks betting splits
Where was the money on Buccaneers vs Seahawks?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Buccaneers | 67% | 52% | +3.5 (-112) |
| Seahawks | 33% | 48% | -3.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 48% | 55% | O 44.5 (-115) |
| Under | 52% | 45% | U 44.5 (-105) | |
| Moneyline | Buccaneers | 29% | 46% | +165 |
| Seahawks | 71% | 54% | -194 |
67% of spread tickets and 52% of spread money were on the Buccaneers, so the Buccaneers drew more tickets than money and the average Seahawks bet was larger.
The under held 52% of total tickets but only 45% of the money; 55% of total money was on the over with 48% of tickets, so the average over bet was larger.
71% of moneyline tickets and 54% of moneyline money were on the Seahawks, so the Seahawks drew more tickets than money and the average Buccaneers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Buccaneers vs Seahawks?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Seahawks) | -3.5 | -3.5 | 0 |
| Total | 44.5 | 44.5 | 0 |
The Seahawks were -3.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -3.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 44.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 44.5: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Buccaneers vs Seahawks line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Seahawks -3.5) even with 52% of the spread money on the Buccaneers. The total did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (44.5) even with 55% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.