Seahawks @ Jaguars
Seahawks
JaguarsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Seahawks beat the Jaguars 20-12 on the road. The market closed with Seahawks at -116 on the moneyline and the total at 47.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 6 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Seahawks betting trends · Jaguars betting trends · all NFL games
Seahawks vs Jaguars betting splits
Where was the money on Seahawks vs Jaguars?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Seahawks | 58% | 70% | -1.5 (-105) |
| Jaguars | 42% | 30% | +1.5 (-117) | |
| Total | Over | 53% | 76% | O 47.5 (-107) |
| Under | 47% | 24% | U 47.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Seahawks | 55% | 63% | -116 |
| Jaguars | 45% | 37% | -105 |
58% of spread tickets and 70% of spread money were on the Seahawks, so the average Seahawks bet was larger than the average Jaguars bet.
53% of total tickets and 76% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
55% of moneyline tickets and 63% of moneyline money were on the Seahawks, so the average Seahawks bet was larger than the average Jaguars bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Seahawks vs Jaguars?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Jaguars) | +1 | +1.5 | +0.5 |
| Total | 47.5 | 47.5 | 0 |
The Seahawks were -1 24 hours before kickoff and closed -1.5, a 0.5-point move toward the Seahawks.
The total was 47.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 47.5: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Seahawks vs Jaguars line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Seahawks (Jaguars +1 to Jaguars +1.5), the side holding 70% of the spread money and 58% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (47.5) even with 76% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.