Raiders @ Broncos
Raiders
BroncosArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Broncos beat the Raiders 10-7 at home. The market closed with Raiders at +360 on the moneyline and the total at 42.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 10 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Raiders betting trends · Broncos betting trends · all NFL games
Raiders vs Broncos betting splits
Where was the money on Raiders vs Broncos?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Raiders | 35% | 47% | +9.5 (-115) |
| Broncos | 65% | 53% | -9.5 (-105) | |
| Total | Over | 57% | 73% | O 42.5 (-112) |
| Under | 43% | 27% | U 42.5 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | Raiders | 9% | 35% | +360 |
| Broncos | 91% | 65% | -470 |
65% of spread tickets and 53% of spread money were on the Broncos, so the Broncos drew more tickets than money and the average Raiders bet was larger.
57% of total tickets and 73% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
91% of moneyline tickets and 65% of moneyline money were on the Broncos, so the Broncos drew more tickets than money and the average Raiders bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Raiders vs Broncos?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Broncos) | -9.5 | -9.5 | 0 |
| Total | 42.5 | 42.5 | 0 |
The Broncos were -9.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -9.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 42.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 42.5: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Raiders vs Broncos line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Broncos -9.5) even with 53% of the spread money on the Broncos. The total did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (42.5) even with 73% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.