Steelers @ Chargers
Steelers
ChargersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Chargers beat the Steelers 25-10 at home. The market closed with Steelers at +155 on the moneyline and the total at 45.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 10 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Steelers betting trends · Chargers betting trends · all NFL games
Steelers vs Chargers betting splits
Where was the money on Steelers vs Chargers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Steelers | 61% | 51% | +3 (-100) |
| Chargers | 39% | 49% | -3 (-120) | |
| Total | Over | 81% | 72% | O 45.5 (-110) |
| Under | 19% | 28% | U 45.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Steelers | 39% | 53% | +155 |
| Chargers | 61% | 47% | -185 |
61% of spread tickets and 51% of spread money were on the Steelers, so the Steelers drew more tickets than money and the average Chargers bet was larger.
81% of total tickets and 72% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
The Chargers held 61% of moneyline tickets but only 47% of the money; 53% of moneyline money was on the Steelers with 39% of tickets, so the average Steelers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Steelers vs Chargers?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Chargers) | -2.5 | -3 | -0.5 |
| Total | 44.5 | 45.5 | +1 |
The Chargers were -2.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -3, a 0.5-point move toward the Chargers.
The total was 44.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 45.5, a 1-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Steelers vs Chargers line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Chargers (Chargers -2.5 to Chargers -3) even though 51% of the spread money sits on the Steelers; the Chargers hold 49% of the money and 39% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 1 point toward the over (44.5 to 45.5), the side holding 72% of the total money and 81% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.