Buccaneers @ Rams
Buccaneers
RamsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Rams beat the Buccaneers 34-7 at home. The market closed with Buccaneers at +280 on the moneyline and the total at 50. This was an NFL 2025 week 12 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Buccaneers betting trends · Rams betting trends · all NFL games
Buccaneers vs Rams betting splits
Where was the money on Buccaneers vs Rams?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Buccaneers | 65% | 63% | +7.5 (-120) |
| Rams | 35% | 37% | -7.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 52% | 74% | O 50 (-110) |
| Under | 48% | 26% | U 50 (-112) | |
| Moneyline | Buccaneers | 15% | 50% | +280 |
| Rams | 85% | 50% | -357 |
65% of spread tickets and 63% of spread money were on the Buccaneers, so the Buccaneers drew more tickets than money and the average Rams bet was larger.
52% of total tickets and 74% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
Moneyline money was split evenly at 50% a side (tickets 15% Buccaneers, 85% Rams).
Line movement
What was the closing line for Buccaneers vs Rams?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Rams) | -7 | -7.5 | -0.5 |
| Total | 49.5 | 50 | +0.5 |
The Rams were -7 24 hours before kickoff and closed -7.5, a 0.5-point move toward the Rams.
The total was 49.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 50, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Buccaneers vs Rams line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Rams (Rams -7 to Rams -7.5) even though 63% of the spread money sits on the Buccaneers; the Rams hold 37% of the money and 35% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (49.5 to 50), the side holding 74% of the total money and 52% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.