Giants @ Patriots
Giants
PatriotsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Patriots beat the Giants 33-15 at home. The market closed with Giants at +290 on the moneyline and the total at 46.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 13 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Giants betting trends · Patriots betting trends · all NFL games
Giants vs Patriots betting splits
Where was the money on Giants vs Patriots?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Giants | 47% | 48% | +7 (-105) |
| Patriots | 53% | 52% | -7 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 60% | 68% | O 46.5 (-110) |
| Under | 40% | 32% | U 46.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Giants | 11% | 24% | +290 |
| Patriots | 89% | 76% | -372 |
53% of spread tickets and 52% of spread money were on the Patriots, so the Patriots drew more tickets than money and the average Giants bet was larger.
60% of total tickets and 68% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
89% of moneyline tickets and 76% of moneyline money were on the Patriots, so the Patriots drew more tickets than money and the average Giants bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Giants vs Patriots?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Patriots) | -7.5 | -7 | +0.5 |
| Total | 46.5 | 46.5 | 0 |
The Patriots opened -7.5 and closed -7, a 0.5-point move toward the Giants.
The total opened 46.5 and closed 46.5: it has not moved.
Why the line moved
Why did the Giants vs Patriots line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Giants (Patriots -7.5 to Patriots -7) even though 52% of the spread money sits on the Patriots; the Giants hold 48% of the money and 47% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total did not move from its opening number (46.5) even with 68% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.