Texans @ Chiefs
Texans
ChiefsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Texans beat the Chiefs 20-10 on the road. The market closed with Texans at +185 on the moneyline and the total at 41.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 14 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Texans betting trends · Chiefs betting trends · all NFL games
Texans vs Chiefs betting splits
Where was the money on Texans vs Chiefs?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texans | 55% | 44% | +4.5 (-112) |
| Chiefs | 45% | 56% | -4.5 (-107) | |
| Total | Over | 75% | 68% | O 41.5 (-109) |
| Under | 25% | 32% | U 41.5 (-111) | |
| Moneyline | Texans | 23% | 23% | +185 |
| Chiefs | 77% | 77% | -218 |
The Texans held 55% of spread tickets but only 44% of the money; 56% of spread money was on the Chiefs with 45% of tickets, so the average Chiefs bet was larger.
75% of total tickets and 68% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
77% of moneyline tickets and 77% of moneyline money were on the Chiefs, with money and tickets in step.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Texans vs Chiefs?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Chiefs) | -3.5 | -4.5 | -1 |
| Total | 41.5 | 41.5 | 0 |
The Chiefs opened -3.5 and closed -4.5, a 1-point move toward the Chiefs.
The total opened 41.5 and closed 41.5: it has not moved.
Why the line moved
Why did the Texans vs Chiefs line move?
The spread moved 1 point toward the Chiefs (Chiefs -3.5 to Chiefs -4.5), the side holding 56% of the spread money and 45% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total did not move from its opening number (41.5) even with 68% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.