Vikings @ Cowboys
Vikings
CowboysArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Vikings beat the Cowboys 34-26 on the road. The market closed with Vikings at +200 on the moneyline and the total at 47.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 15 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Vikings betting trends · Cowboys betting trends · all NFL games
Vikings vs Cowboys betting splits
Where was the money on Vikings vs Cowboys?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Vikings | 29% | 44% | +5 (-112) |
| Cowboys | 71% | 56% | -5 (-107) | |
| Total | Over | 76% | 80% | O 47.5 (-112) |
| Under | 24% | 20% | U 47.5 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | Vikings | 9% | 14% | +200 |
| Cowboys | 91% | 86% | -250 |
71% of spread tickets and 56% of spread money were on the Cowboys, so the Cowboys drew more tickets than money and the average Vikings bet was larger.
76% of total tickets and 80% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
91% of moneyline tickets and 86% of moneyline money were on the Cowboys, so the Cowboys drew more tickets than money and the average Vikings bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Vikings vs Cowboys?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Cowboys) | -6.5 | -5 | +1.5 |
| Total | 47.5 | 47.5 | 0 |
The Cowboys opened -6.5 and closed -5, a 1.5-point move toward the Vikings.
The total opened 47.5 and closed 47.5: it has not moved.
Why the line moved
Why did the Vikings vs Cowboys line move?
The spread moved 1.5 points toward the Vikings (Cowboys -6.5 to Cowboys -5) even though 56% of the spread money sits on the Cowboys; the Vikings hold 44% of the money and 29% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total did not move from its opening number (47.5) even with 80% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.