Dolphins @ Steelers
Dolphins
SteelersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Steelers beat the Dolphins 28-15 at home. The market closed with Dolphins at +147 on the moneyline and the total at 43.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 15 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Dolphins betting trends · Steelers betting trends · all NFL games
Dolphins vs Steelers betting splits
Where was the money on Dolphins vs Steelers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Dolphins | 50% | 55% | +3.5 (-121) |
| Steelers | 50% | 45% | -3.5 (-105) | |
| Total | Over | 68% | 71% | O 43.5 (-107) |
| Under | 32% | 29% | U 43.5 (-117) | |
| Moneyline | Dolphins | 20% | 37% | +147 |
| Steelers | 80% | 63% | -185 |
50% of spread tickets and 55% of spread money were on the Dolphins, so the average Dolphins bet was larger than the average Steelers bet.
68% of total tickets and 71% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
80% of moneyline tickets and 63% of moneyline money were on the Steelers, so the Steelers drew more tickets than money and the average Dolphins bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Dolphins vs Steelers?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Steelers) | -3.5 | -3.5 | 0 |
| Total | 41.5 | 43.5 | +2 |
The Steelers opened -3.5 and closed -3.5: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 41.5 and closed 43.5, a 2-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Dolphins vs Steelers line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Steelers -3.5) even with 55% of the spread money on the Dolphins. The total moved 2 points toward the over (41.5 to 43.5), the side holding 71% of the total money and 68% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.