Patriots @ Ravens
Patriots
RavensArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Patriots beat the Ravens 28-24 on the road. The market closed with Patriots at +171 on the moneyline and the total at 47.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 16 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Patriots betting trends · Ravens betting trends · all NFL games
Patriots vs Ravens betting splits
Where was the money on Patriots vs Ravens?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Patriots | 78% | 72% | +3.5 (-102) |
| Ravens | 22% | 28% | -3.5 (-119) | |
| Total | Over | 72% | 73% | O 47.5 (-115) |
| Under | 28% | 27% | U 47.5 (-105) | |
| Moneyline | Patriots | 55% | 60% | +171 |
| Ravens | 45% | 40% | -212 |
78% of spread tickets and 72% of spread money were on the Patriots, so the Patriots drew more tickets than money and the average Ravens bet was larger.
72% of total tickets and 73% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
55% of moneyline tickets and 60% of moneyline money were on the Patriots, so the average Patriots bet was larger than the average Ravens bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Patriots vs Ravens?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Ravens) | -8.5 | -3.5 | +5 |
| Total | 46.5 | 47.5 | +1 |
The Ravens opened -8.5 and closed -3.5, a 5-point move toward the Patriots.
The total opened 46.5 and closed 47.5, a 1-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Patriots vs Ravens line move?
The spread moved 5 points toward the Patriots (Ravens -8.5 to Ravens -3.5), the side holding 72% of the spread money and 78% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1 point toward the over (46.5 to 47.5), the side holding 73% of the total money and 72% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.