Raiders @ Commanders
Raiders
CommandersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Commanders beat the Raiders 41-24 at home. The market closed with Raiders at +130 on the moneyline and the total at 43.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 3 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Raiders betting trends · Commanders betting trends · all NFL games
Raiders vs Commanders betting splits
Where was the money on Raiders vs Commanders?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Raiders | 39% | 61% | +3 (-115) |
| Commanders | 61% | 39% | -3 (-105) | |
| Total | Over | 19% | 17% | O 43.5 (-115) |
| Under | 81% | 83% | U 43.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Raiders | 12% | 25% | +130 |
| Commanders | 88% | 75% | -155 |
The Commanders held 61% of spread tickets but only 39% of the money; 61% of spread money was on the Raiders with 39% of tickets, so the average Raiders bet was larger.
81% of total tickets and 83% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
88% of moneyline tickets and 75% of moneyline money were on the Commanders, so the Commanders drew more tickets than money and the average Raiders bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Raiders vs Commanders?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Commanders) | -3 | -3 | 0 |
| Total | 43.5 | 43.5 | 0 |
The Commanders were -3 24 hours before kickoff and closed -3: the spread has not moved.
The total was 43.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 43.5: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Raiders vs Commanders line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Commanders -3) even with 61% of the spread money on the Raiders. The total did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (43.5) even with 83% of the total money on the under. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.