Jets @ Buccaneers
Jets
BuccaneersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Buccaneers beat the Jets 29-27 at home. The market closed with Jets at +260 on the moneyline and the total at 43.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 3 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Jets betting trends · Buccaneers betting trends · all NFL games
Jets vs Buccaneers betting splits
Where was the money on Jets vs Buccaneers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Jets | 55% | 51% | +6.5 (-110) |
| Buccaneers | 45% | 49% | -6.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 19% | 18% | O 43.5 (-105) |
| Under | 81% | 82% | U 43.5 (-115) | |
| Moneyline | Jets | 3% | 3% | +260 |
| Buccaneers | 97% | 97% | -320 |
55% of spread tickets and 51% of spread money were on the Jets, so the Jets drew more tickets than money and the average Buccaneers bet was larger.
81% of total tickets and 82% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
97% of moneyline tickets and 97% of moneyline money were on the Buccaneers, with money and tickets in step.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Jets vs Buccaneers?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Buccaneers) | -6.5 | -6.5 | 0 |
| Total | 43.5 | 43.5 | 0 |
The Buccaneers were -6.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -6.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 43.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 43.5: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Jets vs Buccaneers line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Buccaneers -6.5) even with 51% of the spread money on the Jets. The total did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (43.5) even with 82% of the total money on the under. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.