Colts @ Titans
Colts
TitansArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Colts beat the Titans 41-20 on the road. The market closed with Colts at -258 on the moneyline and the total at 42.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 3 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Colts betting trends · Titans betting trends · all NFL games
Colts vs Titans betting splits
Where was the money on Colts vs Titans?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Colts | 54% | 68% | -6 (-110) |
| Titans | 46% | 32% | +6 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 31% | 53% | O 42.5 (-110) |
| Under | 69% | 47% | U 42.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Colts | 93% | 97% | -258 |
| Titans | 7% | 3% | +210 |
54% of spread tickets and 68% of spread money were on the Colts, so the average Colts bet was larger than the average Titans bet.
The under held 69% of total tickets but only 47% of the money; 53% of total money was on the over with 31% of tickets, so the average over bet was larger.
93% of moneyline tickets and 97% of moneyline money were on the Colts, so the average Colts bet was larger than the average Titans bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Colts vs Titans?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Titans) | +4.5 | +6 | +1.5 |
| Total | 43.5 | 42.5 | -1 |
The Colts were -4.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -6, a 1.5-point move toward the Colts.
The total was 43.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 42.5, a 1-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Colts vs Titans line move?
The spread moved 1.5 points toward the Colts (Titans +4.5 to Titans +6), the side holding 68% of the spread money and 54% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1 point toward the under (43.5 to 42.5) even though 53% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 47% of the money and 69% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.