Broncos @ Chargers
Broncos
ChargersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Chargers beat the Broncos 23-20 at home. The market closed with Broncos at +130 on the moneyline and the total at 45.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 3 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Broncos betting trends · Chargers betting trends · all NFL games
Broncos vs Chargers betting splits
Where was the money on Broncos vs Chargers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Broncos | 43% | 40% | +2.5 (-100) |
| Chargers | 57% | 60% | -2.5 (-121) | |
| Total | Over | 30% | 44% | O 45.5 (-110) |
| Under | 70% | 56% | U 45.5 (-107) | |
| Moneyline | Broncos | 10% | 6% | +130 |
| Chargers | 90% | 94% | -155 |
57% of spread tickets and 60% of spread money were on the Chargers, so the average Chargers bet was larger than the average Broncos bet.
70% of total tickets and 56% of total money were on the under, so the under drew more tickets than money and the average over bet was larger.
90% of moneyline tickets and 94% of moneyline money were on the Chargers, so the average Chargers bet was larger than the average Broncos bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Broncos vs Chargers?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Chargers) | -3 | -2.5 | +0.5 |
| Total | 46 | 45.5 | -0.5 |
The Chargers were -3 24 hours before kickoff and closed -2.5, a 0.5-point move toward the Broncos.
The total was 46 24 hours before kickoff and closed 45.5, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Broncos vs Chargers line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Broncos (Chargers -3 to Chargers -2.5) even though 60% of the spread money sits on the Chargers; the Broncos hold 40% of the money and 43% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (46 to 45.5), the side holding 56% of the total money and 70% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.