Cowboys @ Bears
Cowboys
BearsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Bears beat the Cowboys 31-14 at home. The market closed with Cowboys at -124 on the moneyline and the total at 50.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 3 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Cowboys betting trends · Bears betting trends · all NFL games
Cowboys vs Bears betting splits
Where was the money on Cowboys vs Bears?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Cowboys | 45% | 80% | -1.5 (-112) |
| Bears | 55% | 20% | +1.5 (-107) | |
| Total | Over | 22% | 28% | O 50.5 (-105) |
| Under | 78% | 72% | U 50.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Cowboys | 77% | 83% | -124 |
| Bears | 23% | 17% | +104 |
The Bears held 55% of spread tickets but only 20% of the money; 80% of spread money was on the Cowboys with 45% of tickets, so the average Cowboys bet was larger.
78% of total tickets and 72% of total money were on the under, so the under drew more tickets than money and the average over bet was larger.
77% of moneyline tickets and 83% of moneyline money were on the Cowboys, so the average Cowboys bet was larger than the average Bears bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Cowboys vs Bears?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Bears) | +1.5 | +1.5 | 0 |
| Total | 50.5 | 50.5 | 0 |
The Cowboys were -1.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -1.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 50.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 50.5: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Cowboys vs Bears line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Bears +1.5) even with 80% of the spread money on the Cowboys. The total did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (50.5) even with 72% of the total money on the under. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.