Titans @ Texans
Titans
TexansArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Texans beat the Titans 26-0 at home. The market closed with Titans at +320 on the moneyline and the total at 39.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 4 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Titans betting trends · Texans betting trends · all NFL games
Titans vs Texans betting splits
Where was the money on Titans vs Texans?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Titans | 65% | 69% | +7.5 (-115) |
| Texans | 35% | 31% | -7.5 (-105) | |
| Total | Over | 47% | 38% | O 39.5 (-110) |
| Under | 53% | 62% | U 39.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Titans | 7% | 7% | +320 |
| Texans | 93% | 93% | -420 |
65% of spread tickets and 69% of spread money were on the Titans, so the average Titans bet was larger than the average Texans bet.
53% of total tickets and 62% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
93% of moneyline tickets and 93% of moneyline money were on the Texans, with money and tickets in step.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Titans vs Texans?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Texans) | -7 | -7.5 | -0.5 |
| Total | 39 | 39.5 | +0.5 |
The Texans were -7 24 hours before kickoff and closed -7.5, a 0.5-point move toward the Texans.
The total was 39 24 hours before kickoff and closed 39.5, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Titans vs Texans line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Texans (Texans -7 to Texans -7.5) even though 69% of the spread money sits on the Titans; the Texans hold 31% of the money and 35% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (39 to 39.5) even though 62% of the total money sits on the under; the over holds 38% of the money and 47% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.