Colts @ Rams
Colts
RamsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Rams beat the Colts 27-20 at home. The market closed with Colts at +154 on the moneyline and the total at 49.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 4 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Colts betting trends · Rams betting trends · all NFL games
Colts vs Rams betting splits
Where was the money on Colts vs Rams?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Colts | 55% | 54% | +3.5 (-115) |
| Rams | 45% | 46% | -3.5 (-105) | |
| Total | Over | 37% | 54% | O 49.5 (-112) |
| Under | 63% | 46% | U 49.5 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | Colts | 16% | 23% | +154 |
| Rams | 84% | 77% | -190 |
55% of spread tickets and 54% of spread money were on the Colts, so the Colts drew more tickets than money and the average Rams bet was larger.
The under held 63% of total tickets but only 46% of the money; 54% of total money was on the over with 37% of tickets, so the average over bet was larger.
84% of moneyline tickets and 77% of moneyline money were on the Rams, so the Rams drew more tickets than money and the average Colts bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Colts vs Rams?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Rams) | -3.5 | -3.5 | 0 |
| Total | 49.5 | 49.5 | 0 |
The Rams were -3.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -3.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 49.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 49.5: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Colts vs Rams line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Rams -3.5) even with 54% of the spread money on the Colts. The total did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (49.5) even with 54% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.