Packers @ Cowboys
Packers
CowboysArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Packers and Cowboys tied 40-40. The market closed with Packers at -320 on the moneyline and the total at 47. This was an NFL 2025 week 4 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Packers betting trends · Cowboys betting trends · all NFL games
Packers vs Cowboys betting splits
Where was the money on Packers vs Cowboys?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Packers | 77% | 89% | -6.5 (-110) |
| Cowboys | 23% | 11% | +6.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 35% | 43% | O 47 (-110) |
| Under | 65% | 57% | U 47 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Packers | 90% | 77% | -320 |
| Cowboys | 10% | 23% | +265 |
77% of spread tickets and 89% of spread money were on the Packers, so the average Packers bet was larger than the average Cowboys bet.
65% of total tickets and 57% of total money were on the under, so the under drew more tickets than money and the average over bet was larger.
90% of moneyline tickets and 77% of moneyline money were on the Packers, so the Packers drew more tickets than money and the average Cowboys bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Packers vs Cowboys?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Cowboys) | +7 | +6.5 | -0.5 |
| Total | 47 | 47 | 0 |
The Packers were -7 24 hours before kickoff and closed -6.5, a 0.5-point move toward the Cowboys.
The total was 47 24 hours before kickoff and closed 47: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Packers vs Cowboys line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Cowboys (Cowboys +7 to Cowboys +6.5) even though 89% of the spread money sits on the Packers; the Cowboys hold 11% of the money and 23% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (47) even with 57% of the total money on the under. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.