Jets @ Dolphins
Jets
DolphinsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Dolphins beat the Jets 27-21 at home. The market closed with Jets at +131 on the moneyline and the total at 43.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 4 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Jets betting trends · Dolphins betting trends · all NFL games
Jets vs Dolphins betting splits
Where was the money on Jets vs Dolphins?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Jets | 46% | 49% | +2.5 (-106) |
| Dolphins | 54% | 51% | -2.5 (-120) | |
| Total | Over | 44% | 32% | O 43.5 (-107) |
| Under | 56% | 68% | U 43.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Jets | 24% | 34% | +131 |
| Dolphins | 76% | 66% | -154 |
54% of spread tickets and 51% of spread money were on the Dolphins, so the Dolphins drew more tickets than money and the average Jets bet was larger.
56% of total tickets and 68% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
76% of moneyline tickets and 66% of moneyline money were on the Dolphins, so the Dolphins drew more tickets than money and the average Jets bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Jets vs Dolphins?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Dolphins) | -2.5 | -2.5 | 0 |
| Total | 44.5 | 43.5 | -1 |
The Dolphins were -2.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -2.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 44.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 43.5, a 1-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Jets vs Dolphins line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Dolphins -2.5) even with 51% of the spread money on the Dolphins. The total moved 1 point toward the under (44.5 to 43.5), the side holding 68% of the total money and 56% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.