Bengals @ Broncos
Bengals
BroncosArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Broncos beat the Bengals 28-3 at home. The market closed with Bengals at +350 on the moneyline and the total at 44.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 4 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Bengals betting trends · Broncos betting trends · all NFL games
Bengals vs Broncos betting splits
Where was the money on Bengals vs Broncos?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bengals | 32% | 28% | +7.5 (-108) |
| Broncos | 68% | 72% | -7.5 (-112) | |
| Total | Over | 42% | 47% | O 44.5 (-110) |
| Under | 58% | 53% | U 44.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Bengals | 7% | 36% | +350 |
| Broncos | 93% | 64% | -450 |
68% of spread tickets and 72% of spread money were on the Broncos, so the average Broncos bet was larger than the average Bengals bet.
58% of total tickets and 53% of total money were on the under, so the under drew more tickets than money and the average over bet was larger.
93% of moneyline tickets and 64% of moneyline money were on the Broncos, so the Broncos drew more tickets than money and the average Bengals bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Bengals vs Broncos?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Broncos) | -7.5 | -7.5 | 0 |
| Total | 44.5 | 44.5 | 0 |
The Broncos were -7.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -7.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 44.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 44.5: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Bengals vs Broncos line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Broncos -7.5) even with 72% of the spread money on the Broncos. The total did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (44.5) even with 53% of the total money on the under. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.