Falcons @ 49ers
Falcons
49ersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: 49ers beat the Falcons 20-10 at home. The market closed with Falcons at -115 on the moneyline and the total at 46.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 7 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Falcons betting trends · 49ers betting trends · all NFL games
Falcons vs 49ers betting splits
Where was the money on Falcons vs 49ers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Falcons | 61% | 70% | +0.5 (-115) |
| 49ers | 39% | 30% | -0.5 (-105) | |
| Total | Over | 42% | 51% | O 46.5 (-110) |
| Under | 58% | 49% | U 46.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Falcons | 42% | 51% | -115 |
| 49ers | 58% | 49% | -105 |
61% of spread tickets and 70% of spread money were on the Falcons, so the average Falcons bet was larger than the average 49ers bet.
The under held 58% of total tickets but only 49% of the money; 51% of total money was on the over with 42% of tickets, so the average over bet was larger.
The 49ers held 58% of moneyline tickets but only 49% of the money; 51% of moneyline money was on the Falcons with 42% of tickets, so the average Falcons bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Falcons vs 49ers?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (49ers) | -1.5 | -0.5 | +1 |
| Total | 47.5 | 46.5 | -1 |
The 49ers were -1.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -0.5, a 1-point move toward the Falcons.
The total was 47.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 46.5, a 1-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Falcons vs 49ers line move?
The spread moved 1 point toward the Falcons (49ers -1.5 to 49ers -0.5), the side holding 70% of the spread money and 61% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1 point toward the under (47.5 to 46.5) even though 51% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 49% of the money and 58% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.