Packers @ Steelers
Packers
SteelersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Packers beat the Steelers 35-25 on the road. The market closed with Packers at -152 on the moneyline and the total at 46. This was an NFL 2025 week 8 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Packers betting trends · Steelers betting trends · all NFL games
Packers vs Steelers betting splits
Where was the money on Packers vs Steelers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Packers | 36% | 32% | -2.5 (-120) |
| Steelers | 64% | 68% | +2.5 (-102) | |
| Total | Over | 60% | 77% | O 46 (-107) |
| Under | 40% | 23% | U 46 (-112) | |
| Moneyline | Packers | 62% | 60% | -152 |
| Steelers | 38% | 40% | +128 |
64% of spread tickets and 68% of spread money were on the Steelers, so the average Steelers bet was larger than the average Packers bet.
60% of total tickets and 77% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
62% of moneyline tickets and 60% of moneyline money were on the Packers, so the Packers drew more tickets than money and the average Steelers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Packers vs Steelers?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Steelers) | +3 | +2.5 | -0.5 |
| Total | 45.5 | 46 | +0.5 |
The Packers were -3 24 hours before kickoff and closed -2.5, a 0.5-point move toward the Steelers.
The total was 45.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 46, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Packers vs Steelers line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Steelers (Steelers +3 to Steelers +2.5), the side holding 68% of the spread money and 64% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (45.5 to 46), the side holding 77% of the total money and 60% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.