Ravens @ Dolphins
Ravens
DolphinsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Ravens beat the Dolphins 28-6 on the road. The market closed with Ravens at -460 on the moneyline and the total at 51.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 9 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Ravens betting trends · Dolphins betting trends · all NFL games
Ravens vs Dolphins betting splits
Where was the money on Ravens vs Dolphins?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Ravens | 76% | 80% | -7.5 (-118) |
| Dolphins | 24% | 20% | +7.5 (-104) | |
| Total | Over | 66% | 80% | O 51.5 (-105) |
| Under | 34% | 20% | U 51.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Ravens | 89% | 82% | -460 |
| Dolphins | 11% | 18% | +360 |
76% of spread tickets and 80% of spread money were on the Ravens, so the average Ravens bet was larger than the average Dolphins bet.
66% of total tickets and 80% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
89% of moneyline tickets and 82% of moneyline money were on the Ravens, so the Ravens drew more tickets than money and the average Dolphins bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Ravens vs Dolphins?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Dolphins) | +7.5 | +7.5 | 0 |
| Total | 50.5 | 51.5 | +1 |
The Ravens were -7.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -7.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 50.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 51.5, a 1-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Ravens vs Dolphins line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Dolphins +7.5) even with 80% of the spread money on the Ravens. The total moved 1 point toward the over (50.5 to 51.5), the side holding 80% of the total money and 66% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.