Seahawks @ Commanders
Seahawks
CommandersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Seahawks beat the Commanders 38-14 on the road. The market closed with Seahawks at -148 on the moneyline and the total at 47.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 9 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Seahawks betting trends · Commanders betting trends · all NFL games
Seahawks vs Commanders betting splits
Where was the money on Seahawks vs Commanders?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Seahawks | 62% | 47% | -2.5 (-120) |
| Commanders | 38% | 53% | +2.5 (+100) | |
| Total | Over | 49% | 72% | O 47.5 (-110) |
| Under | 51% | 28% | U 47.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Seahawks | 85% | 68% | -148 |
| Commanders | 15% | 32% | +125 |
The Seahawks held 62% of spread tickets but only 47% of the money; 53% of spread money was on the Commanders with 38% of tickets, so the average Commanders bet was larger.
The under held 51% of total tickets but only 28% of the money; 72% of total money was on the over with 49% of tickets, so the average over bet was larger.
85% of moneyline tickets and 68% of moneyline money were on the Seahawks, so the Seahawks drew more tickets than money and the average Commanders bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Seahawks vs Commanders?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Commanders) | +3 | +2.5 | -0.5 |
| Total | 48.5 | 47.5 | -1 |
The Seahawks were -3 24 hours before kickoff and closed -2.5, a 0.5-point move toward the Commanders.
The total was 48.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 47.5, a 1-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Seahawks vs Commanders line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Commanders (Commanders +3 to Commanders +2.5), the side holding 53% of the spread money and 38% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1 point toward the under (48.5 to 47.5) even though 72% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 28% of the money and 51% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.