Chargers @ Patriots
Chargers
PatriotsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Patriots beat the Chargers 16-3 at home. The market closed with Chargers at +159 on the moneyline and the total at 45.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 1 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Chargers betting trends · Patriots betting trends · all NFL games
Chargers vs Patriots betting splits
Where was the money on Chargers vs Patriots?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Chargers | 44% | 52% | +3.5 (-110) |
| Patriots | 56% | 48% | -3.5 (-114) | |
| Total | Over | 79% | 77% | O 45.5 (-110) |
| Under | 21% | 23% | U 45.5 (-120) | |
| Moneyline | Chargers | 17% | 27% | +159 |
| Patriots | 83% | 73% | -202 |
The Patriots held 56% of spread tickets but only 48% of the money; 52% of spread money was on the Chargers with 44% of tickets, so the average Chargers bet was larger.
79% of total tickets and 77% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
83% of moneyline tickets and 73% of moneyline money were on the Patriots, so the Patriots drew more tickets than money and the average Chargers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Chargers vs Patriots?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Patriots) | -3.5 | -3.5 | 0 |
| Total | 45.5 | 45.5 | 0 |
The Patriots opened -3.5 and closed -3.5: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 45.5 and closed 45.5: it has not moved.
Why the line moved
Why did the Chargers vs Patriots line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Patriots -3.5) even with 52% of the spread money on the Chargers. The total did not move from its opening number (45.5) even with 77% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.