Texans @ Steelers
Texans
SteelersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Texans beat the Steelers 30-6 on the road. The market closed with Texans at -155 on the moneyline and the total at 38.5. This was an NFL 2025 week 1 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Texans betting trends · Steelers betting trends · all NFL games
Texans vs Steelers betting splits
Where was the money on Texans vs Steelers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texans | 49% | 50% | -3 (-105) |
| Steelers | 51% | 50% | +3 (-115) | |
| Total | Over | 69% | 66% | O 38.5 (-105) |
| Under | 31% | 34% | U 38.5 (-115) | |
| Moneyline | Texans | 67% | 58% | -155 |
| Steelers | 33% | 42% | +130 |
Spread money was split evenly at 50% a side (tickets 49% Texans, 51% Steelers).
69% of total tickets and 66% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
67% of moneyline tickets and 58% of moneyline money were on the Texans, so the Texans drew more tickets than money and the average Steelers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Texans vs Steelers?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Steelers) | +3 | +3 | 0 |
| Total | 39.5 | 38.5 | -1 |
The Texans opened -3 and closed -3: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 39.5 and closed 38.5, a 1-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Texans vs Steelers line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Steelers +3). The total moved 1 point toward the under (39.5 to 38.5) even though 66% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 34% of the money and 31% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.