Matchup summary

Pablo Carreno Busta faces Daniil Medvedev in Tennis action on Thursday, October 1 at 10:00 PM ET. Pablo Carreno Busta are getting +314 on the moneyline with the total at 21.5. Market win probability leans Daniil Medvedev at 77.1%. Busta holds serve 76% and breaks 21% (2026; hard 72% / 21%); Medvedev holds 85%, breaks 27% (52 wks; hard 86% / 29%). Odds from 7 books, line movement, sharp money splits, and every graded Locksmith pick on this matchup update on this page through game time.