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Matchup summary

The Blue Jays take on the Orioles in MLB action on Wednesday, September 23 at 1:36 PM ET. Blue Jays are getting +108 on the moneyline with the total at 7.5. Market win probability leans Orioles at 53.3%. Odds from 2 books, line movement, sharp money splits, a market confluence table (money vs tickets, line movement and which side holds the money, with the record of past games that showed the same reading), and every graded Locksmith pick on this matchup update on this page through game time.

Market data as of (latest consensus snapshot ) · refreshes about every minute while the game is on the slate; the closing market is archived at kickoff and stays at this URL

More on this matchup: Blue Jays betting trends · Orioles betting trends · all MLB games

Blue Jays vs Orioles betting splits

Where is the money on Blue Jays vs Orioles?

MarketSideTicketsMoneyLine / odds
SpreadBlue Jays52%42%+1.5 (-204)
Orioles48%58%-1.5 (+177)
TotalOver94%93%O 7.5 (+101)
Under6%7%U 7.5 (-113)
MoneylineBlue Jays38%62%+108
Orioles62%38%-119

The Blue Jays hold 52% of spread tickets but only 42% of the money; 58% of spread money is on the Orioles with 48% of tickets, so the average Orioles bet is larger.

94% of total tickets and 93% of total money are on the over, so the over draws more tickets than money and the average under bet is larger.

The Orioles hold 62% of moneyline tickets but only 38% of the money; 62% of moneyline money is on the Blue Jays with 38% of tickets, so the average Blue Jays bet is larger.

Line movement

What is the Blue Jays vs Orioles spread and total?

MarketEarliest trackedCurrentMove
Spread (Orioles)-1.5-1.50
Total7.57.50

The Orioles were -1.5 at the earliest tracked line and are now -1.5: the spread has not moved.

The total was 7.5 at the earliest tracked line and is now 7.5: it has not moved.

The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.

Why the line moved

Why did the Blue Jays vs Orioles line move?

The spread has not moved from the earliest tracked line (Orioles -1.5) even with 58% of the spread money on the Orioles. The total has not moved from the earliest tracked line (7.5) even with 93% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.

Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen; there is no historical dataset for this sport yet.

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Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Picks — Sep 23, 2026 | Locksmith